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The global economy is teetering on the edge, and top economists are sounding the alarm about an impending recession. One ...
The Conference Board Leading Economic Index fell 0.1% month-over-month in May, marking its sixth consecutive monthly decline and signaling intensifying recession risks for the U.S. economy.
Stocks have marched higher since their early April low as the fear of an impending recession has receded. The S&P 500 is 2.3% below its mid-February high, having declined by almost 20%.
The commonly used definition of a technical recession is consecutive quarter-over-quarter contractions in real GDP. The global composite output index, a bellwether for the trend in global real GDP ...
There are plenty of small negatives which don't add up to a recession. Recession risk comes from the continued back-and-forth from the White House about what tariffs will be. Read more here.
It's timely to review the Recession Buy Indicator after the report that the U.S. economy shrank at an annualized rate of 0.3% in the first quarter of this year.
Janet Yellen warned that the risk of a US recession has “gone way up” after Donald Trump’s sweeping tariffs rattled financial markets, consumers and businesses.
But every US recession is also unique, with a different historical trigger. The Great Recession of 2007-09, which kicked off with the subprime mortgage crisis and the collapse of financial ...
A recession would pose a "relatively mild" risk to stocks, according to an Invesco strategist. "The S&P 500 Index is already down by 22.4% from the cycle peak to the recent trough," said Global ...